Why Hot Guys are Jerks and Cute Girls Are Dumb? Berkson's Paradox

9,292 views • Nov 10, 2023

Concepts in this episode

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  1. Selection Bias mechanism

    Selection bias occurs when the path into a sample systematically excludes cases, making patterns produced by that filter look like properties of the wider world. Before trusting a relationship, reconstruct how each observed case became visible.

  2. Availability Bias mental-model

    Availability Bias makes memorable, visible, or repeatedly broadcast cases feel statistically representative. When the channel selecting what you see favors drama and quotability, ease of recall becomes a distorted measure of frequency.

  3. Training Data Bias principle

    AI systems can learn the logic of a dataset’s admission process instead of the logic of the world. If visibility, filtering, or prior selection shaped the training cases, those gates can manufacture correlations the model later treats as reality.

  4. Berkson's Paradox mental-model

    When you compare only cases that passed the same selection threshold, that filter can create an apparent trade-off between qualities that are not opposed in the wider population.

  5. Collider Bias mechanism

    Collider bias appears when you study only cases admitted through a shared gate. Inside that selected group, independent causes can look related—or a real relationship can appear weaker or reversed—because either cause helped the case become visible.

  6. Performative Adaptation mechanism

    Visible personality is partly shaped by social reward: people may suppress intelligence, complexity, or confidence when those traits threaten acceptance. What looks like a stable disposition can therefore be an adaptation to the audience.

  7. Social Comparison Bias mental-model

    Social comparison bias arises when you compare your unedited private life with someone else’s selectively published moments. The mistake is treating a highlight reel as a representative sample.

Description

Do you think good-looking people are always the worst? If yes, you need to watch this video. Learn if all hot guys are rude and all beautiful women are not smart or it's just a mental construct. Understand why we think this or why this exists in a nuanced fashion in this episode of FutureIQ. We covered Berkson's Paradox; aka collider bias, the dumbness of politicians, the lack of social abilities of geeks and much more in this. Don't miss it. More videos for you: System 1 vs System 2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DIVTMooO7o4 Power Law: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i2YrICwDR5g Dunbar's Numbers: https://youtu.be/ekAtODyfkyw Hope you enjoyed FutureIQ by Navin Kabra and Shrikant Joshi. Do hit us up on Twitter: @ngkabra http://twitter.com/ngkabra @shrikant https://twitter.com/shrikant Listen it on the podcast provider of your choice: https://tapthe.link/FutureIQRSS Watch other episodes of The FutureIQ podcast: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLAppTB0r5_TaYueZ0adD42Wiw5X-wTE4v #futureiq

Transcript

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