Mechanical prediction
A fixed rule combining a few relevant measurements can match or outperform expert judgment. Simple scoring systems provide useful benchmarks before investing in elaborate assessments.
Episodes that teach this
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The Power of Simple Approaches | Future IQ
· explained at 2:15
18,650 views
mean standardize them, add them up and this number does a better job of predicting the outcomes
Examples & generalisations
Concrete examples: graduate admissions predicted by adding standardized entrance scores, undergraduate grades, and institution rankingAshenfelter's wine equation using weather measurements and wine ageApgar scoring using five observable features of a newborna two-variable recidivism predictor matching a system using 137 variables