Science Says: Pollution Makes You Dumb - FutureIQ

1,898 views • Nov 04, 2023

Concepts in this episode

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  1. PM2.5 can remain airborne and enter enclosed rooms, so being indoors does not necessarily end exposure. Pollution you cannot see may still become an input into cognition and decision quality.

  2. Natural Experiment mental-model

    A natural experiment exploits an accidental real-world change that separates one suspected cause from competing explanations, making causal inference more credible than correlation alone.

  3. Particulate pollution can degrade cognition, patience, and decision quality even without visible smog. Environmental quality is therefore an input into intellectual and institutional performance, not merely physical health.

  4. Market Efficiency mental-model

    Market efficiency depends not only on available information but on participants being cognitively able to interpret it. When judgment degrades across many traders at once, price discovery can weaken and volatility can rise.

  5. Confounding Variables mental-model

    A correlation can point at the wrong cause when a third variable produces both the apparent cause and the outcome. Stronger empirical work separates plausible alternatives and tests which causal channel survives.

  6. A causal claim becomes more credible when effects rise and fall with exposure. A graded response helps separate a plausible cause from a correlation, while also revealing thresholds below which an exposure may have no meaningful effect.

  7. Random assignment is powerful because it reduces confounding, but causal clarity does not justify deliberately exposing people to foreseeable harm. When the assignment itself would be unethical, the question requires an observational or natural-experiment design.

Description

The bad effects of pollution are not limited to physical health. There are numerous studies that have observed the effects of pollution on human intelligence and the results will shock you. However counterintuitive it may seem, pollution is making you dumb. Let's take a deep dive into the topic with Dr. Navin Kabra and the funny and sensitive RJ. Shrikant in this episode of futureIQ. More videos for you: Radioactive steel: https://youtu.be/ytsuzcf5I8k Old vs new justice system: https://youtu.be/ipcIZE1cJw4 Will AI take your job: https://youtu.be/3fOTvF8ReXA Dollar value of your time: https://youtu.be/C-8gffw9_h4 Is Wikipedia reliable: https://youtu.be/HBXKHIPIUH8 Diamonds are a scam: https://youtu.be/EjJ4GmcgukU Plastic is good: https://youtu.be/u3RbpprDaw8 Barnum statements: https://youtu.be/FcSuHP113NI Hope you enjoyed FutureIQ by Navin Kabra and Shrikant Joshi. Do hit us up on Twitter: @ngkabra http://twitter.com/ngkabra @shrikant https://twitter.com/shrikant Listen it on the podcast provider of your choice: https://tapthe.link/FutureIQRSS Watch other episodes of The FutureIQ podcast: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLAppTB0r5_TaYueZ0adD42Wiw5X-wTE4v Links: https://patrickcollison.com/pollution: Pollution and IQ https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-03-10/air-pollution-kills-far-more-people-than-covid-ever-will: Pollution kills more people than Covid ever will https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2021/12/why-the-new-pollution-literature-is-credible.html: Pollution Research Chapters: 00:00 Introduction 00:55 Examples 06:45 The legitimacy of studies 13:28 Why should you care? 15:05 Long-term effects 17:38 Anti-principle 19:50 What to do with this information 23:50 Comparing deaths by pollution #futureiq #pollution

Transcript

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