The Randomness of Science - Why Randomised Controlled Trials (RCTs) Work - FutureIQ
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Feb 28, 2025
Description
Do you know what a Randomised Controlled Trial (RCT) is? How and why are such trials conducted? Today, the 28th of Feb is World Science Day and hence in true FutureIQ style, it seemed fitting to talk about one of the pillars of good science - RCTs.
In this episode, we speak about the need for RCTs and how they came about to be. What are the different groups/phases within Randomized Controlled Trials? How does the Placebo effect play a role within RCTs? Along with giving several examples, we also explain the different variables and baises that are addressed through RCTs such as Observer Bias, Confounders Bias and Selection Bias.
While RCTs are a pretty common and standardised practice within epidemiology, there are natural questions that arise about the ethics of the practice as well. How fair is it to the participants of the trial? And where does the line of morality lie in finding the balance for the greater good of the world?
More videos you may enjoy:
Barnum Effect Explained: https://youtu.be/FcSuHP113NI
Survivorship Bias Explained: https://youtu.be/QjDXyuBJ0UY
Hope you enjoyed FutureIQ by Navin Kabra and Shrikant Joshi. Do hit us up on Twitter:
@ngkabra http://twitter.com/ngkabra
@shrikant https://twitter.com/shrikant
Listen it on the podcast provider of your choice: https://tapthe.link/FutureIQRSS
Chapters:
00:00 Introduction
01:45 Why do we need RCTs?
03:55 Ad Hoc Fallacy
04:54 Scurvy and the start of Controlled Trials
07:44 Placebo Effect
10:30 So how do we find the balance?
13:29 3 Major biases solved by RCTs
15:03 Selection Bias
17:25 Confounder's Bias
19:10 Observer Bias
21:40 Double Blind
22:33 Ethics of RCTs
External sources that are cited:
- Lobotomy: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lobotomy
- Bloodletting: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bloodletting
- Data analysis shows that religious authorities develop systems of “praying for rainfall” which maximizes the chances of prayer happening just before rainfall: https://www.nber.org/papers/w31411
- The Illinois Employee Wellness Program https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/06/upshot/employer-wellness-programs-randomized-trials.html
- Coffee and Lung-cancer (correlated, but really it is because coffee drinkers are also smokers): https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/19362749/
- Lack of pirates is causing global warming: https://www.forbes.com/sites/erikaandersen/2012/03/23/true-fact-the-lack-of-pirates-is-causing-global-warming/?sh=5ac145893a67
- Website of spurious correlations: https://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations
- Clever Hans, the horse who could do maths: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hAJlAuEo7Ac
- Parachute RCT: https://www.bmj.com/content/363/bmj.k5094
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